TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cc3…34f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.2%+$137.23
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+126.2%+$185.34
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$138.5
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$225
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$217
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+91.3%+$73.02
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$80.77
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+614.3%+$301
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Spread: SEA (-7.5)backed NO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.39
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+201.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$475
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$79.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$76.11
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.11
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$98.92
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.44
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.11
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$56.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$130.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$84.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.