Golf · resolved market
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe619a73cf01335cf001c059efbdf816ee4e9ec8dcfd9e5cd5553ce258352b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 65c | 26,007$17,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,001.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 25c | 21,551$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.21 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 76c | 21,263$16,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,067.33 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 20,043$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 47c | 9,083$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 8,790$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.92 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 7,191$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.51 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 30c | 2,281$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 36c | 2,208$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.26 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,020$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 64c | 1,791$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 42c | 958.5$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 29c | 950$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 52c | 912$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…7be1backed Yes | 7c | 904.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 26c | 858.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 55c | 574.78$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 39c | 510.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 491.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…6445backed No | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…3963backed Yes | 50c | 388.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 70c | 380.9$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 70c | 370$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…d34ebacked Yes | 6c | 333.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…b124backed Yes | 14c | 316.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 63c | 289$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 33c | 277.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…efc5backed Yes | 75c | 264.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…c4d9backed Yes | 21c | 262.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 261.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 29c | 258.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 24c | 257.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 50c | 253$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab22…762dbacked Yes | 48c | 238.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 32c | 219.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 60c | 219.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 40c | 208.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 35c | 205.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…49aebacked Yes | 10c | 203$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 198$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 174$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 44c | 140.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…4df4backed No | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 27c | 106.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 30c | 105.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…2dfcbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 28c | 87.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…c302backed No | 67c | 74.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…40a6backed Yes | 39c | 68.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 44c | 56.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…5962backed Yes | 39c | 51.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…124fbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…abc4backed No | 63c | 49.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…339ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…f39bbacked Yes | 39c | 47.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 26c | 46.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…4fd0backed No | 63c | 43.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb487…ae3cbacked No | 63c | 34.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 46c | 33.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…961cbacked Yes | 40c | 33.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…4e79backed No | 63c | 30.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 63c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…69aabacked No | 63c | 24.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…755ebacked No | 63c | 24.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…9c6fbacked No | 63c | 24.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 79c | 21.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…b858backed No | 64c | 21.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…ad3bbacked No | 64c | 17.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?this page
- Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Tour Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.