TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Russell Henley win the 2025 Tour Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c20,294$60 inLost-$60.412953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes16c1,648$263 inLost-$263.0823319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes22c849.98$190 inLost-$189.551827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1185…0486backed Yes13c565.48$76 inLost-$7650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes15c560.01$84 inLost-$845133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes5c500$23 inLost-$22.52927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes21c291.39$60 inLost-$601816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes19c265.95$50 inLost-$503823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes30c159.5$47 inLost-$47.498118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c143$114 inWon+$29.3914043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No73c137.35$100 inWon+$37.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes17c121.07$21 inLost-$21.077031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked No78c113.42$88 inWon+$25.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes14c100$14 inLost-$13.71504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f12…5771backed Yes28c65.24$18 inLost-$18.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No78c59.08$46 inWon+$12.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.