TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1aee…c139

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
410
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5719.3%11 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.28
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+161.7%+$2,291.72
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,176.72
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+211.2%+$4,470.48
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$259.13
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$142.5
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$72.8
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,481.02
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$116.7
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$295.25
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$981.44
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$176.75
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38.52
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$254.53
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$466.62
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$172.98
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,160.93
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$212.52
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$144.13
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76.24
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300.45
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96.87
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.16
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$394.05
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,769.41
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.04
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$282.54
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,631Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$1,010.35
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$1,754.73
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.99
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.52
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$3,034.54
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,810.7
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$1,368.75
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Sam Burns finish as leader after Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$126.1
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,393
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.19
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$7.76
Will Chris Gotterup make the 2025 USA Ryder Cup team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$6
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+190.4%+$466.12
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,092.68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$870.29
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$1,056.27
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,732.17
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.28
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.61
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+140%+$217.78
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$101.25
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.81
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$658.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.25
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+179%+$107.31
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.42
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+618.4%+$5,018.31
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.14
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.83
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,167.18
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,666.92
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,804.73
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.4%+$7,014.23
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,181.71
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+612.3%+$20,501.86
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,788.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.67
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$638.57
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.28
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.86
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.06
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.82
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.65
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.62
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.36
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.59
Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,656.21
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.89
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,411.58
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$36.84
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.22
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.42
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$42.94
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.44
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.72
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.29
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.79
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.6
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.02
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.67
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.16
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$517.48
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.23
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760.18
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$1,232
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.64
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.71
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.24
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+254%+$24,378.96
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+679.8%+$2,282.02
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.48
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,375.26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.23
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.21
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.48
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$352.3
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.19
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$12.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$542.64
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.84
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.36
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.39
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.63
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$142.2
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.27
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,743.88
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$262.87
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$4,432.41
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$414.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384.07
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$810.95
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+241.1%+$1,094.21
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,096.1
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33.47
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+160.9%+$1,141.16
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$2,881.97
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.24
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+256.9%+$4,492.46
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.07
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.68
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.25
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.41
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+294.8%+$4,352.93
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$2,481.85
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$8,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,626.26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$30,869.07
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$974.02
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.37
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66%+$1,106.78
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.98
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$8,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,652.92
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312.62
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62%+$3,583.68
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$25.08
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.22
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,583.91
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.17
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+216.4%+$5,887.55
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.26
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,340.65
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+268.4%+$1,265.4
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$74.45
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+255.4%+$570.57
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.8
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,331.44
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$531.02
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$5,399.17
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$880.25
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,363.83
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.5
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.02
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.11
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$788.2
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+118.7%+$1,336.04
Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$260.12
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+28.4%+$88.62
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$1,602.05
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+66.5%+$1,861.24
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.88
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+222.5%+$4,498.71
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.77
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.6
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.42
Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the UEFA Conference League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.75
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.44
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.26
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+219.6%+$368.26
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.81
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Lyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Real Sociedad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.97
AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham Hotspur, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed AZ Alkmaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.54
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.19
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$546.41
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$161.9
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.76
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,033.57
Will India win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+54%+$300.85
Will England win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$69.65
Will England win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$174.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.22
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.95
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.88
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+280%+$77.37
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$411.36
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$139.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$87.77
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.06
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$295.95
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.94
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$841.44
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$188.57
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.88
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.6
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.7%+$56.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$128.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.