Cricket · resolved market
Will England vs. India end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4985255ea87629425d94e7dffa5efb9bb0fb5cdbdb51be4f09a24e9605bc8d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 5,458$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.75 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 3,246$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.06 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 37c | 2,352$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,012$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 18c | 1,738$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.91 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 80c | 1,558$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…dad9backed Yes | 18c | 1,243$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked No | 77c | 522.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 16c | 496.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 60c | 333.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 10c | 250.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.12 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 7c | 240.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 20c | 207$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 80c | 198.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes | 54c | 186.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 17c | 140.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 55c | 120.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 41c | 118.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…5c06backed Yes | 17c | 115.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 111.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 13c | 103.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 84.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 82.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…6c9bbacked Yes | 24c | 80.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…695abacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…a74bbacked Yes | 73c | 69.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…a2bcbacked Yes | 22c | 64.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +281.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes | 18c | 63.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6ee7backed Yes | 30c | 48.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…2a31backed Yes | 31c | 47.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…bd4fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…6c00backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…b83fbacked Yes | 51c | 37.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 49c | 33.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…026bbacked No | 77c | 23.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…e778backed No | 76c | 18.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?this page
- Will England win the match?No won
- Will India win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.