Cricket · resolved market
Will England win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460bb9c2475ac7143ea177c15e824da140d72b6a102d455488ad7e79dc9b6940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 60c | 1,287$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 40c | 1,128$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.73 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 55c | 646.6$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 36c | 479.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 79c | 435.46$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 49c | 430.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 47c | 397.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 50c | 352.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 73c | 347.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…5e51backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 31c | 295.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…a1c7backed Yes | 79c | 273.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 28c | 240.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 70c | 209.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 49c | 202.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 19c | 198.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 53c | 180.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 36c | 167.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6ee7backed Yes | 48c | 155.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…695abacked Yes | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes | 36c | 155$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…83bbbacked Yes | 51c | 142.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 43c | 137.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 17c | 121.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…0025backed Yes | 65c | 121.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…b18ebacked Yes | 79c | 121.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 49c | 100.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 43c | 89.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 49c | 57.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 77c | 50.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…086abacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…4e9ebacked No | 54c | 47.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…74d9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…bb8dbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…5906backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…153cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win the match?this page
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?Yes won
- Will India win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.