Cricket · resolved market
Will India win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096fda3246bb826e8e6457dd9bc35a3e8bdeb890643503b2462a7e8247d65636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b05…dad9backed Yes | 12c | 2,009$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,653$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,607$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d21…fa17backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 1,188$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.12 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 2c | 1,081$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 67c | 983.45$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…bd26backed Yes | 32c | 936.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 7c | 584.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 26c | 466.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 35c | 462.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 3c | 440$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…efc5backed Yes | 48c | 428.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 408.29$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 34c | 293.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…434bbacked Yes | 12c | 266.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…695abacked Yes | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 35c | 136.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6ee7backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 30c | 110.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 73c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 80c | 72.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…df51backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…07ecbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…2a31backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…0d8bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 61.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…4e9ebacked No | 71c | 45.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…44bebacked No | 78c | 37.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…5906backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a9…a716backed No | 70c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win the match?this page
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?Yes won
- Will England win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.