TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b37…c799

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.72
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.85
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.76
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.9%+$44.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.2%+$88.57
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.1%+$15.63
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.4%+$24.26
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$28.07
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$19.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$15.1
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$22.45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$20.68
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.32
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+45%+$20.24
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$21.21
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$13.23
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+103.3%+$29.74
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.55
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$35.26
Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$36.33
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$72.63
Will Ding Liren win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$169
Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$23.01
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$118.97
Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+809.1%+$566.29
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championshipbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Will Ding Liren win game 6 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$76.13
Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$80.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28%+$19.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26%+$20.82
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+91.9%+$18.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$39.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.