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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No34c24,357$8,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,351.7710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c13,375$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.991,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No16c10,718$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.294932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes74c5,736$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.59666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.993420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c4,575$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.11,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes80c4,560$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.7711355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No30c4,439$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.028242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.019140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No19c2,490$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.210521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed No40c1,584$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb97…5356backed No18c1,530$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes77c1,521$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No45c1,280$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c1,213$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5621560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes71c1,024$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes50c1,010$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No16c999.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.066835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes56c960$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes57c918.25$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.794346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes79c777$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.171957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes78c776.26$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5923153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes70c760.14$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No23c738.95$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.96540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Yes77c728.51$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes79c632.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes77c627.5$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No17c599.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.954628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes60c585.07$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eeb…b355backed Yes75c490.49$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c407.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No20c400.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.037926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes61c344.11$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+98.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No21c328.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.715736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No15c325.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.793050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes8c325$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2992433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes78c321.28$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No15c299.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c286.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5314452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No23c282.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No23c267.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.372832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes58c263.64$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.641030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes78c256.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae0…cf6abacked Yes66c255$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.55556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes77c245.23$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes78c233.33$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.331040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No19c231.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No19c208.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.613050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed No18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes78c193.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No19c190.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Yes76c187.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes61c186.1$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.585729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No25c182$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes75c160.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691450%7 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No35c153.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes71c151.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No26c149$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7413016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes71c140.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.376243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…7b7bbacked Yes71c139.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Yes26c136.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes78c133.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes78c128.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Yes59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d5…b69dbacked No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes54c122.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No21c119.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked No16c119.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c114.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.838041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Yes77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7f…5655backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4a…1b1bbacked Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9126…1896backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…dda8backed Yes55c95.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Yes70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.