Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4062fe5894c157efed1ad6124fe7a4114890c30635463aae1d68b8e30a0f040a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 60c | 13,125$7,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.39 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 8,753$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 41c | 8,536$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.21 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 5,889$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.72 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 3,090$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 1,942$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.81 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 54c | 1,905$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 1,740$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 54c | 1,020$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 999.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 71c | 991$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.61 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 50c | 940.01$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.01 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 48c | 907.02$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 14c | 690.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 18c | 505.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 11c | 404$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 44c | 388.36$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 310$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…d74dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…602abacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 73c | 240$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…8b84backed Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 13c | 192.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 65c | 153.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 148.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 129.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Yes | 44c | 126.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 12c | 90.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 28c | 54.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…e894backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…7481backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…0822backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.