TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6be7…8d02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+277.5%+$55.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$285.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+152.1%+$83.66
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$178.15
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$182.61
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+386.2%+$72.29
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Espanyol vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+245%+$49
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$25.26
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$58.04
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$264
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+187%+$531
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+172%+$36.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike 0 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.29
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+208.7%+$87.64
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+290.2%+$56.64
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$43.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+84.6%+$170.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+44.4%+$13.33
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$99.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.