South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9510a7763fdac9f5f03bc266916859c2b14f18c254c5c1192154961c3bee6571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 4,529$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.96 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 25c | 3,086$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 44c | 1,214$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.81 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…760dbacked No | 56c | 599.87$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 53c | 523.27$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 360$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 55c | 291$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 54c | 199.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 46c | 164.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…4d23backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…37dfbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 42c | 141.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…2cadbacked Yes | 45c | 118$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 70.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 57c | 41.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-15?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-10-15?No won
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.