South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7431eb67bf5f715d1fbbf49e54c574659d30e0130126cd8a6e077a1bc2bf0e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 30c | 8,443$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.21 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 4,423$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.77 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,598$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,182$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked Yes | 31c | 1,509$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed No | 69c | 1,506$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 68c | 1,020$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 77c | 372$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 30c | 172$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 169.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 77c | 42.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-10-15?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.