TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6327…e181

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST3528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$780
Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$213.68
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will CA Independiente vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$201.8
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$99.37
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$197
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$900.35
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,347.26
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$442.75
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+526%+$3,447.75
Will EC Juventude vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.84
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$650.88
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.82
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+174.7%+$2,671.75
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+224.1%+$1,937.18
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$306.72
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.19
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$21.45
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$431.29
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.44
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,091.13
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.67
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$875.55
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.65
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,117.15
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$107.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.5%+$490.64
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$95.59
Will Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.57
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,380.94
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$806.44
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,452Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+144.9%+$6,449.68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$110.52
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,656.14
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$3,080.05
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$392
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$516
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$765
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,240
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+334.8%+$385
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$306
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,197.82
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$3,900
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+203%+$6,700
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,650
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.7
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,417.71
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.96
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+527.7%+$667.51
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.03
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.17
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.54
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$319.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Aleksandar Vukic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$78.79
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+163.2%+$22.84
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$238.05
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$92.1
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.37
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.19
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Shrivalli Bhamidipatybacked Bhamidipaty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.33
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$262.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$570
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$480.48
Will FC Nantes vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,954Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$1,572.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$1,600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.