NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fdf4569d63f78659049bf1e3430eaeb7bcde3ce3f72764793e1e4628d4f1c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Knicks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,643,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,960,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,643,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 46c | 304,282$139,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,969.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Heat | 54c | 302,496$163,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,339.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Heat | 53c | 289,801$153,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,531.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 47c | 146,159$69,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,048.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Knicks | 47c | 100,999$47,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,469.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Knicks | 45c | 100,834$45,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,521.95 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Knicks | 47c | 96,485$45,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,347.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,599.78 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 49c | 53,946$26,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,296.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Knicks | 47c | 44,250$20,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,797.52 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 46c | 42,959$19,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,761.13 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Knicks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.97 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Knicks | 48c | 28,130$13,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,502.29 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 57c | 26,682$15,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,513.59 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 57c | 22,324$12,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,494.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed Heat | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Knicks | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Heat | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Knicks | 47c | 19,029$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,950.05 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heat | 54c | 18,372$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,372.32 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 51c | 17,839$9,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,741.21 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 47c | 17,213$8,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,176.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 50c | 16,923$8,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.01 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 54c | 14,180$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.48 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 45c | 13,401$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.55 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…ab22backed Knicks | 47c | 13,382$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Heat | 56c | 12,883$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 42c | 12,726$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Knicks | 47c | 12,676$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.53 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 49c | 10,658$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.8 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Knicks | 47c | 10,268$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Heat | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ec…663ebacked Knicks | 46c | 9,300$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…1546backed Heat | 54c | 9,300$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…9e0bbacked Knicks | 49c | 9,278$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…8d06backed Knicks | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Heat | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Knicks | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…0d91backed Heat | 54c | 8,600$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…0f66backed Heat | 54c | 8,355$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 52c | 8,307$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.24 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…6a50backed Heat | 54c | 8,152$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Knicks | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Heat | 50c | 8,000$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…3a83backed Knicks | 47c | 7,950$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 45c | 7,926$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.33 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Knicks | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Heat | 53c | 7,350$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.5 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 53c | 7,128$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.67 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1ffdbacked Knicks | 48c | 6,982$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 52c | 6,829$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.9 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 51c | 6,767$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Knicks | 47c | 6,660$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…34ccbacked Knicks | 47c | 6,613$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…266fbacked Heat | 54c | 6,471$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 47c | 6,187$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…0551backed Knicks | 50c | 6,142$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbd…f014backed Heat | 50c | 6,140$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Heat | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 58c | 5,981$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.49 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…3768backed Knicks | 50c | 5,964$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…0870backed Heat | 50c | 5,952$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Knicks | 47c | 5,483$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Heat | 52c | 5,403$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.04 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Knicks | 36c | 5,400$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Heat | 55c | 5,387$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.64 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 56c | 5,385$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.04 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Knicks | 47c | 5,356$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…f7afbacked Knicks | 48c | 5,222$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…9252backed Heat | 52c | 5,215$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Knicks | 60c | 5,160$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.14 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…8a36backed Knicks | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Knicks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 51c | 5,000$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.8 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Knicks | 29c | 4,986$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Knicks | 48c | 4,900$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.36 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…e03abacked Heat | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…dc01backed Knicks | 47c | 4,574$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…4ba0backed Knicks | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…bb22backed Heat | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Heat | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Knicks | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 48c | 4,255$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 22c | 4,100$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.42 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 46c | 4,050$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894f…e372backed Knicks | 47c | 4,022$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Heat | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Knicks | 8c | 3,769$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Knicks | 42c | 3,588$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.23 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Heat | 51c | 3,558$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Heat | 54c | 3,479$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 60c | 3,400$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Heat | 52c | 3,338$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.64 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Knicks | 31c | 3,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Knicks | 46c | 3,155$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.91 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Heatthis page
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.