TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc701…f932

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST5250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$5,471.69
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10,483.04
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$8,699.99
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$6,750
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$6,270
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,099Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+64%+$3,900.63
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$6,239.99
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,350.01
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,399.72
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$7,199.87
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$4,500
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$4,800
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,052.72
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,680
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,820
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,399.98
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,727Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.9%+$2,423.72
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,099Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+135.6%+$12,337.93
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$76.81
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,820
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,570
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$5,618.67
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,920
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$3,760
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST4134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,002.6
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,859.99
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14,700
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15,300
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$14,702.99
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16,750
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$2,880
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$6,073.87
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100.6%+$469.75
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,050
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,399.91
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,241.18
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+151.9%+$6,369.25
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,539.9
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,080
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,549.96
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$242.46
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,250
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$19,999.99
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,680
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$3,920
Spread: Rams (-5.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$3,760
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,350
Spread: Bears (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,040
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$5,394.81
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,851
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,519.95
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,914Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$3,886.06
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27,466.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12,406.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$898.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,399.15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,955.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$5,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9,870
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7,140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20,997Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.3%+$14,544.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.