TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Seahawks, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,254,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,441,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,254,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Rams62c105,087$65,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,933.0119553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Seahawks17c90,481$15,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,535.2210026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Rams73c59,890$43,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,104.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams62c54,000$33,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,519.9127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams71c46,948$33,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,398.5675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Seahawks38c42,000$15,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9605236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Rams79c36,092$28,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,662.833458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Seahawks38c30,992$11,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7772564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Rams62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4003268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seahawks12c28,699$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.2619235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks38c26,898$10,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,221.3216836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Seahawks38c26,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,88016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Rams62c23,672$14,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,995.3717041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Seahawks22c20,758$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,638.320026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Seahawks22c18,769$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,137.968446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks39c17,670$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.0530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Seahawks39c17,604$6,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,878.88946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks36c17,206$6,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,225.2947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks43c16,775$7,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,206.5653348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Seahawks38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Rams62c14,350$8,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4534940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Seahawks43c14,088$6,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,073.874134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Seahawks32c13,630$4,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.9311643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rams60c13,486$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.0631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rams63c13,190$8,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880.347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks33c12,865$4,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.069754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seahawks21c12,505$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.5223244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks13c11,666$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.9360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Rams64c10,564$6,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8339359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Seahawks37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Seahawks38c9,474$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.1714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Seahawks27c8,508$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.612941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Seahawks33c8,500$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks37c8,200$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.9883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks39c8,024$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.0764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Seahawks1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Seahawks39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.985756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Rams70c7,714$5,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.246540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks13c7,190$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.7330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rams72c7,081$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.0350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Seahawks39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks17c6,975$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.7356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Rams58c6,714$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.4611649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Seahawks33c6,420$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.6119551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rams63c6,087$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.322349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Seahawks39c6,000$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seahawks37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Seahawks39c5,859$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2851428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Rams72c5,590$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Rams63c5,556$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.5618650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Seahawks37c5,500$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.988845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9105…97f2backed Seahawks38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rams61c5,125$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.5912744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rams79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05019651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Seahawks20c4,811$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.1913843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rams73c4,620$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.0716254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rams80c4,608$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.697733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seahawks17c4,585$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks37c4,500$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66518044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks38c4,500$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks37c4,336$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.3437350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Seahawks38c4,191$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.687050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Rams61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.934330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rams58c3,739$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.7531854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Seahawks19c3,643$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.778532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Seahawks39c3,590$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Seahawks37c3,580$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.52520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rams62c3,527$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.9454451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rams67c3,512$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Rams63c3,429$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.578856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Seahawks27c3,364$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Rams67c3,328$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.376955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Seahawks38c3,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.966624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Seahawks21c3,279$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1420039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Seahawks31c3,180$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.9113435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10bf…c877backed Seahawks39c3,077$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Seahawks38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams74c2,979$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.3331056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Seahawks32c2,964$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.3916344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Seahawks17c2,885$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks37c2,854$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.911,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rams63c2,821$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.0727348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Rams63c2,726$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.545756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6977…394abacked Seahawks39c2,639$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rams59c2,627$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.2432050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Seahawks32c2,517$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Seahawks40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf166…b79abacked Rams80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Seahawks13c2,300$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Seahawks35c2,149$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506549.2%32 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Seahawks28c2,068$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7514337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rams61c2,050$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4520661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Seahawks27c2,048$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rams62c2,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Seahawks40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Rams63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7403961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Seahawks37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9911452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rams59c1,996$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.0583447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rams69c1,985$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.38164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.