NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf953605a08fbcd63311597c1e547cc83cd4ada16bab29e7a9609f934f852c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Rams, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7189…b454backed Rams | 55c | 11,983$6,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,590.91 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Seahawks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Seahawks | 43c | 6,900$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rams | 57c | 6,225$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.48 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seahawks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams | 58c | 4,036$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.1 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Seahawks | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rams | 58c | 2,833$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.14 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Rams | 59c | 2,431$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rams | 58c | 1,908$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.21 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Rams | 59c | 1,515$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,420$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 41c | 1,202$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Rams | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 41c | 899.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.75 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 43c | 764.51$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.29 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rams | 56c | 658.3$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.65 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Seahawks | 45c | 500.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Seahawks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Seahawks | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked Seahawks | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rams | 59c | 274$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Rams | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Rams | 60c | 249.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Seahawks | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Rams | 57c | 194$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Rams | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 41c | 169.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seahawks | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rams | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 43c | 137.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Rams | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…348cbacked Rams | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Seahawks | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Seahawks | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Rams | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Seahawks | 23c | 56.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Rams | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rams | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Seahawks | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Rams | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Seahawks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…c01abacked Seahawks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seahawks | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rams | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Rams | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rams | 63c | 34.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Seahawks | 41c | 30.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Rams | 56c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…70e6backed Seahawks | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5edcbacked Rams | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Rams | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Rams | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-2.5)this page
- Seahawks vs. RamsRams won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 48.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.