NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f702bd29e1c0c56c42ac11c7ce07755c5b1da8c50e6fbdc0bc5eeac875c138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Rams, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rams | 47c | 8,736$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.03 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 53c | 8,486$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seahawks | 51c | 6,177$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.63 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rams | 48c | 4,150$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.97 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rams | 49c | 3,994$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.06 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rams | 56c | 1,559$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.37 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Seahawks | 55c | 641.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Rams | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 52c | 589$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…2fbcbacked Seahawks | 44c | 565.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Seahawks | 53c | 560.84$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.84 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rams | 47c | 517.95$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.43 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Seahawks | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…bb41backed Rams | 49c | 493$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Seahawks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Seahawks | 52c | 320.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Rams | 48c | 309$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Rams | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seahawks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rams | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Seahawks | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Seahawks | 44c | 229.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks | 61c | 179.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Rams | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Rams | 47c | 132.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rams | 42c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Seahawks | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Seahawks | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rams | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…4069backed Rams | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rams | 47c | 97.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Seahawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Seahawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rams | 45c | 87.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Rams | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Seahawks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…ae8bbacked Rams | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…451ebacked Seahawks | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a072backed Seahawks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Seahawks | 58c | 57.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Seahawks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Rams | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Rams | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5edcbacked Rams | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rams | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Seahawks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…ddf5backed Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Seahawks | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Seahawks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Seahawks | 55c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…d9f6backed Seahawks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Seahawks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rams | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Rams | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)this page
- Seahawks vs. RamsRams won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 48.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Rams: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Rams (-2.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.