TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa297…2fbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.07
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.53
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+80.2%+$320.78
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+79.8%+$341.9
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+126.3%+$315.66
Packers vs. Giants: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$271.41
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.26
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.16
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.17
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$114.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona (-6.5)backed Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$168.92
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$359.42
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.