College Football · resolved market
Hawaii vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2a784c1dfd51474a0fde2a39ad0c11e869183a26ce79206ab3e453fc30db16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof Hawaii, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,305,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,307,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,305,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked UNLV | 57c | 874,433$499,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374,534.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawaii | 43c | 663,754$285,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285,414.43 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Hawaii | 45c | 69,222$30,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,951.98 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii | 34c | 55,131$18,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,735.52 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawaii | 14c | 46,580$6,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.57 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed UNLV | 55c | 46,000$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawaii | 42c | 45,498$19,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,109.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawaii | 42c | 32,416$13,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,678.88 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawaii | 42c | 30,000$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,700 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawaii | 22c | 28,298$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.16 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawaii | 43c | 27,437$11,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,797.86 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawaii | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,749.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Hawaii | 18c | 20,138$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawaii | 44c | 18,220$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.44 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed UNLV | 67c | 17,832$11,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.99 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawaii | 9c | 17,267$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.66 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hawaii | 43c | 15,555$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.65 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UNLV | 56c | 15,000$8,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.23 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii | 42c | 14,300$6,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050.7 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV | 59c | 12,122$7,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.21 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed UNLV | 56c | 10,853$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.11 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Hawaii | 44c | 10,545$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.8 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawaii | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UNLV | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.89 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hawaii | 7c | 9,380$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.63 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawaii | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii | 19c | 7,690$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.54 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawaii | 30c | 6,627$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.47 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UNLV | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Hawaii | 44c | 5,500$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.28 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UNLV | 67c | 5,121$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed UNLV | 67c | 3,818$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawaii | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Hawaii | 15c | 3,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Hawaii | 12c | 2,561$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Hawaii | 44c | 2,530$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.11 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed UNLV | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hawaii | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hawaii | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed UNLV | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Hawaii | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…417cbacked Hawaii | 44c | 1,809$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…491dbacked UNLV | 57c | 1,809$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Hawaii | 43c | 1,800$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.87 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Hawaii | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked UNLV | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked UNLV | 63c | 1,486$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV | 58c | 1,483$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii | 21c | 1,416$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed UNLV | 56c | 1,308$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.59 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawaii | 44c | 1,176$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.63 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Hawaii | 16c | 1,030$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Hawaii | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed UNLV | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Hawaii | 43c | 999.72$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed UNLV | 56c | 996.75$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.57 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked UNLV | 57c | 839.54$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…2fbcbacked Hawaii | 43c | 826.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Hawaii | 44c | 809.59$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawaii | 34c | 630.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawaii | 43c | 624.59$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Hawaii | 49c | 616.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed UNLV | 75c | 596.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Hawaii | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawaii | 29c | 544.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed UNLV | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…fa79backed UNLV | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Hawaii | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Hawaii | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawaii | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawaii | 43c | 473$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hawaii | 43c | 468$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Hawaii | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hawaii | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawaii | 42c | 417$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…0723backed Hawaii | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…ded5backed Hawaii | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawaii | 44c | 390.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Hawaii | 37c | 348.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked UNLV | 55c | 313.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Hawaii | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawaii | 12c | 291.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed UNLV | 53c | 278.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Hawaii | 43c | 278.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed UNLV | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed UNLV | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UNLV | 55c | 240.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Hawaii | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawaii | 42c | 236.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Hawaii | 44c | 228.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawaii | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…0cc1backed Hawaii | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Hawaii | 44c | 220.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked UNLV | 72c | 204.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked UNLV | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…7a4dbacked UNLV | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…f117backed Hawaii | 41c | 199.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Hawaii | 45c | 195.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…8f5bbacked Hawaii | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Hawaii | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii vs. UNLVthis page
- O/U 64.5Under won
- Spread: UNLV (-2.5)UNLV won
- Spread: UNLV (-3.5)UNLV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.