College Football · resolved market
O/U 64.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a2e5875e70521b46b36f19cb657847d18f26d2d80bea7297ba3bd2c533dc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 5,859$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 4,056$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.07 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,184$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.65 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Under | 53c | 1,339$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.33 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,196$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 980.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 944.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 931.27$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 50c | 502.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 391$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Over | 50c | 380.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…38cebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 64.5this page
- Hawaii vs. UNLVUNLV won
- Spread: UNLV (-2.5)UNLV won
- Spread: UNLV (-3.5)UNLV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.