MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df586385dc85d98ca5edf26131bc24ce5df80bed5dd8822584effee28c8de4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 63,709$35,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,677.14 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 22,500$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 22,098$12,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,154.07 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 19,741$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 16,177$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 15,806$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 15,042$6,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,273.22 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 13,709$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,235.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 11,890$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.42 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 11,886$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.83 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 11,728$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.78 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 10,858$6,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.27 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,522$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.96 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 9,787$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.49 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 8,836$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 8,560$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 8,213$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.5 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 8,118$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.12 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,923$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,062$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 6,924$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 6,427$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 6,020$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.2 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,970$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,937$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 5,822$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 5,475$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.42 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,932$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.44 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,667$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,835$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.23 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…76e2backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 3,205$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,988$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.58 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,650$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,600$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,376$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.09 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,337$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 2,230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…0c1fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 1,838$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,739$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.96 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,627$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,611$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,594$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.53 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,586$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.56 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,530$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.49 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,525$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,517$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.52 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.33 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…a8cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,489$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,443$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,211$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.72 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…d661backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,095$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,092$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 1,086$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.88 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 1,048$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,035$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.03 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,031$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.91 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 971.66$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.49 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 962.09$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…400bbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 952.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 937.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 908.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 882.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.31 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 878.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.53 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 856.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 768.83$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.05 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 720.72$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.48 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3a80backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 713.26$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 605$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 549.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 545.22$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 545.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 534.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…5217backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…92c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 484.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 479.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…224dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 401.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 400.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 392.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 389.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 387.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 372.8$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 368.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 366.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…0d85backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 366.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 358.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 351.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 351.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 334.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…f766backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 330.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 19.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 20.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.