TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27f6…400b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$21.69
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$17.37
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.08
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$110.2
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.81
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.08
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.37
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.18
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.17
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+104.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.05
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.36
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+982.5%+$186.63
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+239%+$219.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.