La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9dad9a2c9c8f481c4e080cffbba114d84a744d8203c0bb10657cf4e1ecaa13

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	71c	16,596$11,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,845.09	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	37c	14,385$5,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,328.71	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	69c	8,660$5,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,722.51	1,176	51.9%610 W · 566 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	32c	6,912$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.92	999	33.4%334 W · 665 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	15c	6,819$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	69c	3,406$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.8	177	31.1%55 W · 122 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	35c	2,415$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.19	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	30c	2,381$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.86	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f8…9696backed Over	72c	1,806$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under	29c	1,717$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.99	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under	34c	1,582$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.96	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	32c	1,392$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.79	326	45.4%148 W · 178 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under	30c	1,333$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	28c	1,150$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.48	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	62c	1,075$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.57	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under	15c	715$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.84	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under	40c	663.98$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.39	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-72%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under	29c	648.66$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.81	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	16c	636.6$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.09	608	32.4%197 W · 411 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	68c	608$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.56	280	45.4%127 W · 153 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	68c	571.37$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.84	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	31c	559.97$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.43	482	51.2%247 W · 235 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	72c	540.71$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.18	417	51.8%216 W · 201 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	30c	537.58$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.01	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over	66c	499.25$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.75	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	68c	441.18$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.18	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	31c	381.01$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.67	1,508	38.7%583 W · 925 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	70c	379.03$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.95	571	39.2%224 W · 347 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over	66c	375.97$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.97	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over	67c	342.76$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.11	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under	27c	338.83$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.48	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	66c	301.19$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.2	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	118	19.5%23 W · 95 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under	10c	296$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b5…ae2abacked Under	29c	289.54$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	8c	256.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	839	39.8%334 W · 505 L	-21.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	3%1 W · 32 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+203%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	70c	221.43$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.43	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	31c	212.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	697	50.8%354 W · 343 L	+3.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	71c	201.6$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.56	684	50.6%346 W · 338 L	+15.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	73c	186$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.22	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over	70c	185.71$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	65c	160$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	36c	157.38$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	70c	150$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	245	46.9%115 W · 130 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	68c	143.06$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.26	169	62.1%105 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	55	60%33 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over	66c	142.05$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+5.7wins	+0.33per pick	43cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	31c	136$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	1,566	51.6%808 W · 758 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over	62c	135$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.65	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	18c	131$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	202	41.6%84 W · 118 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c3…bda2backed Over	70c	130$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over	70c	128.57$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.57	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over	70c	112.33$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.7	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over	67c	110.45$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	71cpaid	+26%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	73c	107.52$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	922	54.1%499 W · 423 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	77c	104.58$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.05	402	39.1%157 W · 245 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	30c	99.96$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	454	50%227 W · 227 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	31c	99.68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	200	50.5%101 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over	72c	86.24$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under	38c	82.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.19	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	72c	80$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	74c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	73c	79$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	1,081	50.6%547 W · 534 L	+11.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over	70c	77.14$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ba…ce43backed Over	71c	76.06$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.06	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under	14c	72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over	72c	68.82$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	64c	67.87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	335	44.2%148 W · 187 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	69c	66.03$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	504	49.8%251 W · 253 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Under	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	68c	64.35$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.59	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833a…e833backed Over	73c	61.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	72c	59.17$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	198	65.2%129 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	72c	57.94$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	1,038	48.1%499 W · 539 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over	64c	55.89$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.12	53	75.5%40 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	68cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	79c	55.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	281	38.8%109 W · 172 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	30c	55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa362…9980backed Over	70c	53.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over	70c	50.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Over	72c	49.62$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over	65c	46.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.35	129	64.3%83 W · 46 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	32c	44.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	744	57.5%428 W · 316 L	+22.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	68c	44.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e70…205ebacked Over	70c	42.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d52…550abacked Over	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	33c	40.36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	403	57.1%230 W · 173 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Under	31c	38.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9266backed Over	68c	37.92$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	70c	37.14$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	168	65.5%110 W · 58 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	72c	35.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.87	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-11.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8837…07d7backed Over	60c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under	31c	32.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Valencia CF won
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event