TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Valencia CFof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Valencia CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c76…862dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9c1,594$143 inLost-$143.434454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5c1,440$72 inLost-$72287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5703…82b3backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9c506.99$46 inLost-$45.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9c500$47 inLost-$47.0413419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23c398.96$90 inLost-$90.1910843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Valencia CF77c367.87$283 inWon+$84.613,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5c240.5$12 inLost-$11.661,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Valencia CF77c128$99 inWon+$29.442965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid10c100$10 inLost-$101747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Valencia CF77c80.16$62 inWon+$18.221,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c15…c2bfbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24c66.67$16 inLost-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Valencia CF77c24.17$19 inWon+$5.637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa940…2feabacked Valencia CF78c12.87$10 inWon+$2.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.