TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c9,577$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.642,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes53c8,650$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No50c8,239$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c6,704$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.8643439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c5,922$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.9320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes50c5,482$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.1210636.8%39 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c4,528$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.0468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.976640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No48c2,754$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No49c2,254$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.1698833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c2,102$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.0514951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No47c1,747$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c1,537$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No50c1,405$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.9713347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No48c1,346$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.7648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c1,246$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.191,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c1,117$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.3450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes52c1,112$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed No48c966.67$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked No48c842.85$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c559.02$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.21,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes50c553.34$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6716160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2d…28b8backed Yes52c490.17$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes47c489.36$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes49c481.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c462.25$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4947653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No53c452.72$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3433244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes70c428$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes47c399.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes48c376.16$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9939338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3a…8ab7backed Yes51c326.51$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c308.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c284$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.641,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No48c267$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.162556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Yes52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c236.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.83,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes51c232.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.364548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089566.3%63 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.78341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes40c203.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.163865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed No11c201$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44230%0 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9817759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Yes52c192.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4f…3216backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe785…7e4abacked Yes52c191.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.36946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No50c185$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.686163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Yes49c181.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed No30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes50c178.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8716962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c158.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.11,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c155.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.774,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c126$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.883640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed No48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes50c118.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.447960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes52c113.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.467950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes53c107.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Yes52c102.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.161618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes53c101.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8919037.9%72 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No48c101.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.654852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…765ebacked Yes43c100.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.255100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1b…8306backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes53c86.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3211657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes52c81.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…dcaabacked Yes52c79.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed No48c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes45c69.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.26256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes53c67.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.216348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.