TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f42…a8febacked Under75c9,015$6,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.362263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c7,674$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.3612132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over38c3,809$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4504440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c3,468$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under80c3,268$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.1457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over24c3,260$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.442222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over20c2,455$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c2,125$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.364,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c1,827$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over17c1,260$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.711827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under79c1,216$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over19c1,122$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over38c940.29$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.311855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under78c713$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.867343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under72c691$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…caeebacked Under66c676$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.11931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c583.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49c…1cd5backed Under80c575.41$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over23c507.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c464.84$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.261,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over22c409.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under69c340$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.66657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under77c324$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over28c294.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.487346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c273.65$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c256.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…df82backed Under79c253.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over18c240$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over20c219.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5645450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c215.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5541751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under79c202.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.531457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over25c201.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c180.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c171.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under75c153.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7219865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over29c152.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under79c127.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7919953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over12c126.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over23c112.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.758846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c109.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over26c106.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.485757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under76c90.29$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0233161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under76c90.29$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0220050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over22c89.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.716243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.611741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over37c79.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over37c79.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b90…5077backed Under77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over25c70.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.528342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over38c67.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Over21c66.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.062516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3350…9588backed Under77c65.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Over23c62.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68110%0 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Under78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over22c46.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Under67c45.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686b…ea8fbacked Under77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.463262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under79c37.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Under77c33.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.691764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under64c28.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Under76c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f6…400bbacked Under72c27.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.821139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under75c26.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6717061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under74c26.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.815858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e72…117abacked Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under78c25.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6444039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403e…3031backed Under75c21.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Under74c20.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…5812backed Under78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9266backed Under71c17.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.071580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under75c17.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2322760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under75c16.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0915655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under73c15.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.289750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632075%15 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.