La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58fb101cca8ce80702af6f547caa344bd310e021f28318d9d3c2e7b3e8b0da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 72c | 12,000$8,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,616.16 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 9,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 6,437$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 6,325$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.96 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 6,055$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 57c | 5,472$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 58c | 4,222$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.23 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 43c | 3,962$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 3,179$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.62 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 2,418$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.99 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 43c | 2,359$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.98 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 41c | 2,237$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.97 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.98 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 2,190$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.92 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 42c | 2,157$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.73 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 1,848$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.54 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,637$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 1,634$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.02 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,609$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.19 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 46c | 1,520$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 1,503$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.72 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 43c | 1,483$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 1,483$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.1 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 32c | 1,346$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.06 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 1,276$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.04 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 1,073$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.45 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,067$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 40c | 1,038$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 23c | 1,015$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.45 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Under | 58c | 865.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 53c | 799.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 60c | 713.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.47 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 46c | 704.26$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 669.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 665.55$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 36c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 43c | 594.08$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 17c | 588.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 50c | 544.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 68c | 495.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 45c | 495$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 18c | 452.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 432.93$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 53c | 419.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 47c | 393.75$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 36c | 390$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 71c | 364.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 60c | 352.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 3c | 346.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 33c | 325.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 55c | 320.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 310.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 306.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 305.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 28c | 235.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 43c | 198.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 48c | 194.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…39d9backed Over | 56c | 194.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 45c | 189.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 55c | 186.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…91e4backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 179.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 158.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 73c | 152.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Over | 73c | 143.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 55c | 141.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.