TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddcd…39d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69%+$249.07
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.05
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$63.82
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$88.89
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$28.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.55
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.05
Over 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Over 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Favorite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$140.75
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.69
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$57.59
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.3
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$23.94
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$31
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8.74
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$78.5
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Blackshear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.39
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.54
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.54
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Lima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Woodson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$34.54
Moicano vs. Saint Denisbacked Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.44
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.42
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+59.5%+$15.21
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.29
UFC Fight Night: Tony Ferguson vs. Michael Chiesabacked Ferguson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.82
UFC 304: King Green vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+98.2%+$16.6
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$15.03
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.16
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.33
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.22
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$44.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$80.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.