UFC · resolved market
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b4eaa0b77f810e53fcb206179801d7e7cfab1322e0f0224a53be7020f9d2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dvalishviliof O’Malley, Dvalishvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed O’Malley | 56c | 60,976$33,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,881.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Dvalishvili | 46c | 27,108$12,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Dvalishvili | 46c | 25,150$11,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,572.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dvalishvili | 44c | 22,000$9,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,369.97 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Dvalishvili | 45c | 18,587$8,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,228.58 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed O’Malley | 55c | 15,813$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Dvalishvili | 45c | 15,645$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,576.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…93acbacked O’Malley | 52c | 15,437$8,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked O’Malley | 54c | 12,820$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…03b9backed Dvalishvili | 55c | 10,745$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Dvalishvili | 46c | 10,560$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Dvalishvili | 64c | 10,026$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…6bdebacked O’Malley | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dvalishvili | 50c | 8,663$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked O’Malley | 7c | 7,682$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.22 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Dvalishvili | 45c | 7,541$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked O’Malley | 51c | 6,888$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…1502backed Dvalishvili | 50c | 6,076$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…dcfebacked O’Malley | 49c | 5,845$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…1786backed Dvalishvili | 51c | 5,718$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dvalishvili | 46c | 5,284$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.45 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed O’Malley | 53c | 5,025$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dvalishvili | 57c | 4,386$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.74 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dvalishvili | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Dvalishvili | 46c | 3,978$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked O’Malley | 50c | 3,799$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…2328backed O’Malley | 55c | 3,651$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Dvalishvili | 50c | 3,463$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Dvalishvili | 52c | 3,339$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Dvalishvili | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Dvalishvili | 51c | 3,280$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked O’Malley | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…3060backed O’Malley | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Dvalishvili | 48c | 2,811$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…456bbacked O’Malley | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Dvalishvili | 48c | 2,590$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked O’Malley | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dvalishvili | 58c | 2,410$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.26 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…d309backed O’Malley | 52c | 2,116$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Dvalishvili | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Dvalishvili | 75c | 2,041$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…2994backed O’Malley | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed O’Malley | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked O’Malley | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed O’Malley | 55c | 1,921$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…2353backed O’Malley | 52c | 1,919$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Dvalishvili | 51c | 1,885$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…9242backed O’Malley | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed O’Malley | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed O’Malley | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed O’Malley | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed O’Malley | 5c | 1,736$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…56d1backed O’Malley | 47c | 1,440$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed O’Malley | 2c | 1,419$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked O’Malley | 45c | 1,400$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed O’Malley | 54c | 1,360$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Dvalishvili | 44c | 1,342$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73c…45f2backed Dvalishvili | 52c | 1,308$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed O’Malley | 52c | 1,266$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed O’Malley | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Dvalishvili | 52c | 1,200$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed O’Malley | 35c | 1,137$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…772fbacked O’Malley | 22c | 1,116$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked O’Malley | 52c | 1,115$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…c5b7backed O’Malley | 54c | 1,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…070abacked O’Malley | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked O’Malley | 45c | 1,005$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Dvalishvili | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Dvalishvili | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e7…a5debacked O’Malley | 51c | 990.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…9965backed O’Malley | 54c | 944.63$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed O’Malley | 50c | 934.9$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed O’Malley | 54c | 924.94$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.47 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…7513backed O’Malley | 52c | 827.04$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…78d9backed O’Malley | 51c | 825.69$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked O’Malley | 39c | 802.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Dvalishvili | 46c | 780$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…f7b8backed O’Malley | 52c | 770.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Dvalishvili | 51c | 769.68$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…8e63backed O’Malley | 38c | 755.16$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…a742backed Dvalishvili | 49c | 750$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked O’Malley | 47c | 745.07$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…feecbacked O’Malley | 50c | 718.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…1c95backed O’Malley | 49c | 718.16$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed O’Malley | 54c | 701.9$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Dvalishvili | 45c | 699.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked O’Malley | 52c | 695.47$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked O’Malley | 51c | 685.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed O’Malley | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked O’Malley | 51c | 590.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed O’Malley | 52c | 576.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed O’Malley | 36c | 566.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…f9a4backed O’Malley | 50c | 559$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 540.09$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dvalishvili | 43c | 536$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed O’Malley | 50c | 519.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed O’Malley | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…fa36backed Dvalishvili | 44c | 491$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Dvalishvili | 44c | 480.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Dvalishvili | 48c | 467.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilithis page
- Grasso vs. ShevchenkoShevchenko won
- Ortega vs. LopesLopes won
- Rodriguez vs. OsbourneRodriguez won
- Zellhuber vs. RibovicsRibovics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.