UFC · resolved market
Grasso vs. Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63454c05d69b87c7ff65614ffe499299dae34b2ec91778c67c7d6d112022ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Grasso, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab07…6c9abacked Shevchenko | 60c | 8,359$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Grasso | 51c | 7,512$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Shevchenko | 55c | 3,663$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Grasso | 11c | 2,362$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Grasso | 56c | 1,785$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Grasso | 3c | 1,597$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Grasso | 26c | 1,215$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Grasso | 52c | 1,157$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.97 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Shevchenko | 45c | 1,039$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Grasso | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked Grasso | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Grasso | 52c | 980.68$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Shevchenko | 53c | 941.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Grasso | 46c | 892.8$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Shevchenko | 64c | 885.36$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Grasso | 58c | 864.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Shevchenko | 50c | 843.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Shevchenko | 61c | 837.65$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…6b58backed Grasso | 53c | 813.55$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Grasso | 40c | 768.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Shevchenko | 61c | 733.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shevchenko | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Grasso | 57c | 589.25$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Grasso | 52c | 550.77$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shevchenko | 44c | 499.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…9ca3backed Shevchenko | 45c | 460.59$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Grasso | 47c | 451.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Shevchenko | 46c | 438.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…56d1backed Grasso | 28c | 410.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Shevchenko | 74c | 405.48$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…4cf3backed Grasso | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Grasso | 55c | 395.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Grasso | 55c | 371.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Grasso | 55c | 355.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Grasso | 55c | 310$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 283.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…49febacked Grasso | 9c | 227.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Grasso | 54c | 222.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1c…faf3backed Shevchenko | 45c | 206.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked Shevchenko | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Shevchenko | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Shevchenko | 63c | 183.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…1cfbbacked Grasso | 46c | 181.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Grasso | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…9b8bbacked Grasso | 57c | 176.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Shevchenko | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…5e01backed Grasso | 57c | 163$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Shevchenko | 43c | 155.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Shevchenko | 43c | 149.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Grasso | 54c | 147.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Shevchenko | 45c | 145.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Shevchenko | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…5959backed Grasso | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…b169backed Grasso | 55c | 114.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…7abdbacked Grasso | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…0bafbacked Shevchenko | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Shevchenko | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Grasso | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…7b70backed Shevchenko | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Grasso | 57c | 85.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…6db0backed Shevchenko | 48c | 81.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…8dc0backed Grasso | 16c | 77.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Shevchenko | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Shevchenko | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…129dbacked Shevchenko | 46c | 64.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Shevchenko | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Shevchenko | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Grasso | 53c | 59.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Shevchenko | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Shevchenko | 63c | 50.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Grasso | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…1856backed Grasso | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…0574backed Shevchenko | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…d419backed Grasso | 37c | 43.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…ce83backed Shevchenko | 48c | 42.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…cde2backed Shevchenko | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…c4c4backed Grasso | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…9dd8backed Grasso | 39c | 38.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…845cbacked Grasso | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…7554backed Grasso | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…06e1backed Shevchenko | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…0616backed Shevchenko | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…83a2backed Shevchenko | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c001backed Shevchenko | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Grasso | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f6…326dbacked Shevchenko | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…15d9backed Shevchenko | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…40d8backed Grasso | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Grasso | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grasso | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…0c61backed Grasso | 57c | 20.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Shevchenko | 66c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grasso vs. Shevchenkothis page
- Ortega vs. LopesLopes won
- O’Malley vs. DvalishviliDvalishvili won
- Rodriguez vs. OsbourneRodriguez won
- Zellhuber vs. RibovicsRibovics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.