TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7941…c675

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
410
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20950.7%106 W · 103 L-15.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$135
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$130
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$345
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.99
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.84
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.8
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.86
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.63
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.8
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.87
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.88
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.57
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.76
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.58
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.69
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.74
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.85
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.52
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$46.82
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.74
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.59
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.76
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.6
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$775
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$33.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Belgium win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.63
Will Romania win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$255.75
Will Slovakia win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will Georgia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.73
Will Czechia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.08
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Netherlands win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$42
Will Poland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will Austria win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+104.6%+$115.56
Will Slovakia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Will Ukraine win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+191.5%+$60.44
Will the match be a draw? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$220
Will Italy win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will Denmark win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$34
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$116
Will Switzerland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Will Scotland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Belgium win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will Slovakia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+178.8%+$33.99
Will Denmark win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.13
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.79
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.13
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
NHL Playoffs: Lightning vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.82
Hurricanes vs. Kingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$10.67
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+117.4%+$54
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+104.1%+$51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.6
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+203%+$201
US Open: Sinner vs. Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jasmine Paolini win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Coco Gauff win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.73
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$58
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$415
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$78
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Houston Astros win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Rębecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Grasso vs. Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Zellhuber vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortezbacked Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.