TailMyPicks
Market

College Football · resolved market

Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Notre Dame
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Notre Dame24c96,328$23,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,418.938149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Notre Dame77c84,325$64,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,918.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas A&M34c35,074$12,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,990.4568440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…aafbbacked Notre Dame60c21,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texas A&M33c16,388$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,989.2623751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Texas A&M33c15,205$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,190.487929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texas A&M17c14,708$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,207.645438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Notre Dame20c7,677$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.232040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Texas A&M34c7,201$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Texas A&M27c6,736$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,912.384360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Texas A&M39c5,516$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.925844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas A&M31c5,487$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.564841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Notre Dame70c4,141$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.2781847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb632…e435backed Texas A&M28c3,612$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Notre Dame62c3,007$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.5926750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Texas A&M45c2,967$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6977…394abacked Texas A&M19c2,556$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+115%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Texas A&M30c2,500$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9219120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Notre Dame1c2,491$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.917414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Texas A&M36c2,361$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.1112746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Notre Dame70c2,341$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.83063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Notre Dame72c2,170$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.5462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Notre Dame67c2,138$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.4137749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Notre Dame71c1,855$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.6985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Texas A&M31c1,815$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.381,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Texas A&M34c1,800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.31850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Notre Dame71c1,729$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.2229249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas A&M30c1,666$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Notre Dame68c1,629$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.0349443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Texas A&M24c1,510$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.315451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Texas A&M31c1,060$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.5540549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas A&M37c1,048$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.0257144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Texas A&M34c1,040$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb13…a774backed Notre Dame69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Texas A&M24c949.72$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.723423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Notre Dame63c819.52$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Notre Dame69c725.68$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.726543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed Texas A&M42c721.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Texas A&M21c714.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2910750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas A&M30c679.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.4952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Notre Dame3c665.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Notre Dame53c664.98$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Texas A&M20c634.11$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.29425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Texas A&M40c630.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.5617946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Texas A&M31c621$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Notre Dame49c580.5$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2612857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Texas A&M34c499.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.991915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-61.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Texas A&M31c454.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.872835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame68c419.64$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Texas A&M32c407.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.874942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Texas A&M32c387.49$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.493748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d2…40e1backed Notre Dame14c371.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Notre Dame68c315$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.217361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…594abacked Notre Dame56c311.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Texas A&M33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Notre Dame68c302.27$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Notre Dame52c302$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.045356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Notre Dame67c299.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9911735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc6…c3e4backed Notre Dame51c294.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.053265.6%21 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texas A&M35c283.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3339847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Texas A&M29c262.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.912646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Notre Dame69c256.59$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.053138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Notre Dame70c227$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.173644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Texas A&M32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1363122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…3984backed Texas A&M22c200$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick22cpaid+365.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Texas A&M44c190$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5930548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Notre Dame54c186.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Texas A&M32c185.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.113119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M37c176.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Texas A&M29c175$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb7…ad89backed Notre Dame70c173.34$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e3…cf99backed Notre Dame71c171$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Texas A&M33c156.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Notre Dame48c144.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.147331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Notre Dame66c142.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Notre Dame69c140$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99446.8%44 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Notre Dame73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cae…f15ebacked Notre Dame52c135.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Notre Dame69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Texas A&M31c125.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8322030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…07f5backed Notre Dame15c118.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fc…e669backed Notre Dame70c110.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0554…1880backed Texas A&M15c109.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+570.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Notre Dame60c101.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Notre Dame68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Texas A&M31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7594…0d7fbacked Notre Dame72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7d…b015backed Texas A&M24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ad…b1bbbacked Notre Dame69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas A&M19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8142244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f7…80d2backed Notre Dame69c98.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas A&M32c98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6420757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe73f…740bbacked Texas A&M26c96.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Texas A&M34c95.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.785738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bf…ba22backed Notre Dame69c91.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf6…d0e7backed Notre Dame38c86.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Texas A&M38c85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.74143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Texas A&M25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf306…3006backed Texas A&M33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked Notre Dame70c70.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.