TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec73…303f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$88.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$19.52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$28.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.9%+$81.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+87.5%+$61.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$321.16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53.52
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$112.95
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$220.41
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.16
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+64.2%+$214.03
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$68.75
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,568.98
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$502.85
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$327.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$41.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$82.41
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$131.28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$82.35
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$62.75
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$41.53
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.31
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$68.43
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.66
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$249.79
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$71.49
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53.63
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.52
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.57
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$51.55
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+148.3%+$250.61
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$184.75
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.61
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.06
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$527.9
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$53.03
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$83.04
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.78
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.8
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$468.25
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$91.35
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.42
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$101.52
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$41.95
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.99
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$20.54
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.96
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$40.82
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$44.12
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$126.59
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$40.89
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$69.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$335.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$125.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$64.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$461.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$104.42
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88%+$221.7
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+93.6%+$164.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$31.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$120.61
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+145.9%+$165.24
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.42per pick43cpaid+95.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$50.18
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.8%+$488.17
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.42
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+180.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will World win the Laver Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+238.9%+$32.84
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$21.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$42.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.