Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e805c842934e72be1d35467108c1c1ed6e51f05c362feba220ff2b646861e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd25…21d7backed Over | 50c | 40,651$20,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,304.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…a49fbacked Under | 51c | 38,957$20,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,936.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 26,067$13,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,143.31 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed Under | 52c | 16,515$8,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Over | 48c | 16,515$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Over | 47c | 10,741$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 49c | 10,001$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.35 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Over | 48c | 8,160$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 45c | 7,459$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.62 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 54c | 7,057$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…12c3backed Under | 51c | 3,541$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.93 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 53c | 2,794$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 53c | 2,499$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.61 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…5ac7backed Under | 51c | 2,024$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 44c | 1,499$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Under | 51c | 1,320$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 22c | 1,230$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 53c | 965.93$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.61 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 47c | 575$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 573.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…0ccfbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Under | 53c | 473.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Under | 53c | 472.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Under | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 47c | 339.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…5bc6backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 46c | 276.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 47c | 269$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Over | 50c | 201.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…c5f0backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 48c | 197.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 60c | 192.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Under | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 51c | 142.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…9c3dbacked Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 125.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 92.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…d930backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 77.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Under | 55c | 74.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 45c | 67.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c7a1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…5cc1backed Under | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…25acbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…33d4backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Over | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.