TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd25…21d7backed Over50c40,651$20,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,304.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed97…a49fbacked Under51c38,957$20,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,936.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c26,067$13,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,143.311,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…a984backed Under52c16,515$8,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,927.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f44…1c79backed Over48c16,515$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Over47c10,741$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over49c10,001$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.354228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Over48c8,160$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over45c7,459$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.627346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under54c7,057$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.85066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ab6…12c3backed Under51c3,541$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9310232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under53c2,794$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Under53c2,499$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.615038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94be…5ac7backed Under51c2,024$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9206734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over44c1,499$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over50c1,320$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Under51c1,320$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.612025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over22c1,230$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.134827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.995048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under53c965.93$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6116447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over47c575$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c573.05$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0a…0ccfbacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-79.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked Under53c473.59$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Under53c472.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.91573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Under70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c443.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5518950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over47c339.89$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3501…5bc6backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over46c276.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1273740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over47c269$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Under53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over50c201.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b3…c5f0backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over48c197.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Under51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under60c192.19$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0214044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under53c160.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.387742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Under54c157.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Over45c149.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Under53c149.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.492665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under51c142.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over47c134.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5025…9c3dbacked Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under54c125.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under51c125.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.492646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210f…d8c3backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d75…8e95backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1973…9fb5backed Over49c95.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over45c92.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.817658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f3…d930backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c77.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3821745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Under55c74.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Over45c67.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Under51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.494746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3011backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over48c41.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe6…c7a1backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb745…981bbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941b…5cc1backed Under53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f1…1bdfbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362821.4%6 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3d…25acbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…33d4backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338e…9f49backed Over47c31.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.