TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ea…be40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.99
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$88.99
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$570
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$316.33
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44.53
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$590
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$509.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$390
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$359.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,240
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$715
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.