Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156678336881fef8ff17577cebdf758d8064147bb07a96189c25697e5837542c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 17,724$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,054.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 38c | 12,886$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,989.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 7,992$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.22 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 3,981$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 3,806$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 37c | 3,740$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.13 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 3,130$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 2,636$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 1,353$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.92 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Yes | 62c | 1,023$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 980.55$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 759.02$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.82 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 41c | 604$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 40c | 586.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.87 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked No | 8c | 580$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 565.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 467.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 40c | 432.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 369.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 348.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 66c | 303.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed No | 14c | 252.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 42c | 240.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 17c | 191.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 189.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 42c | 155.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…2561backed Yes | 41c | 154$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 150.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 61c | 122.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 35c | 115.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 108.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 42c | 90.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 58c | 82.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…c828backed No | 60c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 21c | 69.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 59c | 53.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 25c | 52.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 62c | 52.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 58c | 50.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 66c | 42.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 38.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 39c | 35.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c918backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…8b2dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…1f09backed Yes | 41c | 30.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed No | 58c | 29.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 53c | 27.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked No | 61c | 25.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 20.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…67cdbacked No | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…3c90backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 58c | 17.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.