TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x519b…624e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Premier League at 50 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistanbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.12
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$252.45
ODI Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrainbacked Bahrain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58%+$72.27
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3,886.05
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$2,295.62
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,037.92
T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs Indiabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.08
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.02
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Zimbabwe win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.76
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,250
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.55
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.72
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$205.54
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashirebacked Durham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$643.37
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.85
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Chinabacked China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.75
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwandabacked Botswana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.21
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+113%+$14,864.46
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900.43
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.76
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,000
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,816.2
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,550.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15,711.19
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,629.29
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,985.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,358.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,954.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.