Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwanda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38136193bc403ff334bfb0520d1dcfd41ad70b2c3821994e3c3c0c42dda38c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rwandaof Botswana, Rwanda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Rwanda | 63c | 1,666$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.42 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rwanda | 64c | 1,515$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.32 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Botswana | 25c | 1,360$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.21 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Botswana | 10c | 1,302$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Botswana | 65c | 1,300$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rwanda | 65c | 1,297$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.04 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Botswana | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rwanda | 79c | 873.29$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…95e1backed Botswana | 25c | 706.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Botswana | 75c | 686.37$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Rwanda | 68c | 586.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Botswana | 8c | 499.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rwanda | 68c | 470.63$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…442abacked Botswana | 69c | 359.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rwanda | 72c | 342.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Botswana | 37c | 334.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Botswana | 16c | 322$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Rwanda | 71c | 307.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Botswana | 60c | 299.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Botswana | 55c | 293$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Botswana | 30c | 267$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Botswana | 25c | 247.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Botswana | 22c | 205.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Botswana | 37c | 192$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…91c0backed Botswana | 57c | 174.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…40f6backed Botswana | 49c | 166$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Botswana | 31c | 165.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…fc30backed Botswana | 38c | 161.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Botswana | 47c | 154.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…9163backed Rwanda | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Rwanda | 45c | 140.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rwanda | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…e8f5backed Botswana | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rwanda | 77c | 96.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Rwanda | 69c | 96.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Botswana | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Rwanda | 59c | 87.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…6270backed Rwanda | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Rwanda | 57c | 79.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Rwanda | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Rwanda | 65c | 63.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Rwanda | 48c | 63.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…8e9ebacked Botswana | 18c | 60.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Botswana | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Botswana | 50c | 52.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Botswana | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Botswana | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Botswana | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rwanda | 58c | 47.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Botswana | 46c | 44.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Botswana | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…eeafbacked Rwanda | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Rwanda | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Botswana | 27c | 38.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Botswana | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…9951backed Botswana | 44c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…dfbdbacked Botswana | 56c | 36.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rwanda | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Botswana | 65c | 33.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Botswana | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…83edbacked Rwanda | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rwanda | 63c | 30.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Botswana | 38c | 29.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Rwanda | 60c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…e756backed Botswana | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Botswana | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Rwanda | 58c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Rwanda | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…b847backed Rwanda | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.