TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba5e…83ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+62.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.21
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.83
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$16.83
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$20.96
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$11.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.33
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$10.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.