MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a70e3a310382159d16586c0138e8d8fcb9bee96ac19dee4b3881b2f58de559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $715,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 76,273$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000.28 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 58,547$25,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,760.69 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 46,371$26,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,935.35 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 45,400$24,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,430 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 36,969$20,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,266.43 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 27,745$14,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,762.54 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 26,456$14,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,640.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 17,029$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 16,760$9,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.9 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 13,393$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.86 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 11,627$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 9,985$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 9,764$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.81 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 9,037$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 8,775$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 8,668$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 8,592$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…5e1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 8,198$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 7,444$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.24 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 7,348$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.65 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…5dd1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 6,482$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 5,469$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 4,955$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 3,725$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,536$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.19 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 3,257$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 3,079$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.55 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.91 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 2,930$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,390$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.65 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,336$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 2,331$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,169$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.62 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,098$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,969$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.66 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,716$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,701$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.29 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,669$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,663$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,586$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,512$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.28 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 1,492$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…034abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,225$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,181$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 1,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,124$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 1,112$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,074$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,053$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 914$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 859.54$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.39 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 827$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 822.43$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 789.36$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 780$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 679.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 650$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 624.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 615.74$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 576$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 536.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 526.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 523.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 522.49$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 513.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 498.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 487$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 431.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 425.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 419.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 417.86$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 380.58$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 378.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 376.54$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 364.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 14.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.