TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb87b…3626

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
363
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT24526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,940
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+839.1%+$18,381.27
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,613.53
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,857.4
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.2
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$75,318.12
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$8,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,043.3
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56,725.36
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,165.35
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,433.15
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$143,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$46,056.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,500
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8035%28 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,009.83
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+944.2%+$12,659.32
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,056
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,923.9
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$989.25
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$573.86
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$832.93
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,177.98
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$317.17
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,075.8
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$448.12
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$710.89
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$288.7
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$334.79
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,080
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.7%+$235.09
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,017.08
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$884.65
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96.9
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,241.33
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$743.67
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,049.99
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,550
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,132.19
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$15,349.78
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,570
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$9,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,900.48
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,832.3
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,599.92
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,679.98
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,496.95
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,587.86
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,099.95
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,564.04
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$1,641.43
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+142.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,890
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$9,300
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,313.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,277
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$94
All 7 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,150.85
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,180
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,259.98
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.31
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+85.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.