UFC · resolved market
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1e2085fb42249c462c5f51d56d4bf642a2be61e8b3182c71b903fd675731c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mauricio Ruffyof Michael Chandler, Mauricio Ruffy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,401,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,636,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,401,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 272,332$56,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,917.09 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michael Chandler | 19c | 240,468$46,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,854.52 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 179,703$142,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,065.34 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 116,561$23,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,146.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 111,111$86,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,444.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 109,871$87,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400.43 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 85,410$67,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,804.17 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 68,000$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,700 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Michael Chandler | 22c | 46,428$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 32,400$25,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,695.99 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 31,946$25,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.2 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Michael Chandler | 19c | 20,992$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…d3d8backed Michael Chandler | 18c | 16,774$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Michael Chandler | 18c | 16,342$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 16,308$12,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Chandler | 16c | 14,096$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.43 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 13,158$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 12,069$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.88 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 10,311$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.29 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…08cdbacked Michael Chandler | 1c | 10,100$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Michael Chandler | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 9,480$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.58 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 9,135$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 6,052$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Mauricio Ruffy | 76c | 5,555$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.19 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Michael Chandler | 19c | 5,209$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Michael Chandler | 18c | 5,150$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…1121backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michael Chandler | 18c | 5,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 4,992$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.41 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…e9d4backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Michael Chandler | 17c | 4,309$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Mauricio Ruffy | 76c | 3,951$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.75 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 3,925$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…09e6backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Michael Chandler | 14c | 3,653$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 3,600$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.65 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Michael Chandler | 16c | 3,500$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 3,310$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Michael Chandler | 20c | 3,015$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…bed5backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 2,863$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Michael Chandler | 17c | 2,704$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Michael Chandler | 19c | 2,569$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Michael Chandler | 22c | 2,534$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Michael Chandler | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 2,446$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…2483backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 2,402$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 75c | 2,275$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Michael Chandler | 18c | 2,098$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…faa8backed Michael Chandler | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Michael Chandler | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Michael Chandler | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 1,890$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…1f23backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Mauricio Ruffy | 79c | 1,852$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 1,681$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 76c | 1,658$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…2f72backed Michael Chandler | 2c | 1,635$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Michael Chandler | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…d981backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Mauricio Ruffy | 75c | 1,472$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Michael Chandler | 18c | 1,470$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 1,435$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 1,429$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 1,378$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Michael Chandler | 22c | 1,357$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Michael Chandler | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Mauricio Ruffy | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Michael Chandler | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…593dbacked Michael Chandler | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Michael Chandler | 16c | 1,220$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Michael Chandler | 17c | 1,208$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Michael Chandler | 17c | 1,180$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Michael Chandler | 22c | 1,141$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,135$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,129$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,111$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,110$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…4903backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,098$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…a81bbacked Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,088$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…8022backed Michael Chandler | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Michael Chandler | 18c | 1,050$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Michael Chandler | 22c | 1,045$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Michael Chandler | 21c | 1,013$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Michael Chandler | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Mauricio Ruffy | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Mauricio Ruffy | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3c83backed Michael Chandler | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Michael Chandler win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.