TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e5e…fd91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,158.92
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$20,775
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$3,417.11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.65
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,836.71
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,705.13
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.99
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,724.9
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.99
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,249.99
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,121.86
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,008.82
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,982.32
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$14,365
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,050
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$7,451.9
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$8,164.98
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5,121.91
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.36
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$3,060.81
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$3,690
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,047Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+131%+$2,681.31
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$7,184.06
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,820
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.06
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.52
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$909.66
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+198.9%+$1,643.7
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,223.32
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,857.05
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.21
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5,066.95
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.99
UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed John Garza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.75
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$449.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+343.7%+$1,597.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,825
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.99
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,580
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$4,610.53
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.79
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30,286.71
Lightning vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23,450.32
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.88
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40,302.54
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10,779.88
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16,293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12,290.85
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,397Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+78.6%+$5,811.59
Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+71.5%+$3,541.48
Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,065Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+73.1%+$5,163.33
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29,928.16
Bruins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17,162.77
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31,050
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+103.2%+$41,285.84
Jets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,645Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24,595.31
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20,400
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35,310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+125.7%+$44,369.53
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20,228.05
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.2%+$18,489.02
Wild vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$9,183.12
Wild vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16,567.63
Hurricanes vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+114.1%+$5,551.99
Hurricanes vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.5%+$2,972.56
Sharks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$163.17
Flames vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,495Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+103.5%+$2,582.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,864.29
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$391.57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.99
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,759.99
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+325.9%+$6,897.24
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,902Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,352.95
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$74.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,120
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.76
Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10,399.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.