Other European Leagues · resolved market
Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c45f2ce85372efd9b5f4c563f1f9a8ac64c78759fd5db9be05d0633c3361868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,269 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 19,820$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.78 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,490$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 55c | 1,989$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Under | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 1,384$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 1,249$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.4 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 905.68$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.61 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 899.95$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 820.41$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.53 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 44c | 543.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 294.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 285$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 280.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 45c | 204.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 177.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 128.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Over | 37c | 106.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9624…0b05backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…a85abacked Over | 47c | 37.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 33.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 65c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 29.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.