TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x400e…374b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$32.94
Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Trabzonspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+407.9%+$122.38
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fatih Karagümrük SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Hungary vs. Greece: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Russia vs. Mali: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$29.48
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.