Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa0cf6dfddd025f7c5edaa3f21c2d4caf1be1af29041cad21136c56ad47271d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,056$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,146$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 40c | 998.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.68 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 55c | 909.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.13 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 378.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 21c | 317.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 257.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 236.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 50c | 233.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 229.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 35c | 185.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 65c | 130.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 109.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 66.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Under | 64c | 54.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 52.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 51.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…42f5backed Over | 31c | 32.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…2e2bbacked Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…9f12backed Under | 47c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.