Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0167178730ace1c858a762bfc168ab7b32b6ed80d8fece1f3303f92af0857d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bristol City FCof Middlesbrough FC, Bristol City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,664 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bristol City FC | 55c | 8,948$4,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.73 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 3,042$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.12 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bristol City FC | 58c | 2,711$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 1,101$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Bristol City FC | 69c | 817.35$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bristol City FC | 57c | 536.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middlesbrough FC | 31c | 353.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bristol City FC | 56c | 252.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Middlesbrough FC | 27c | 251.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Middlesbrough FC | 50c | 198.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 142.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Bristol City FC | 57c | 132.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Middlesbrough FC | 31c | 93.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bristol City FC | 57c | 72.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bristol City FC | 63c | 71.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bristol City FC | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Middlesbrough FC | 30c | 49.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bristol City FC | 67c | 49.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Middlesbrough FC | 36c | 44.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 33.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bristol City FC | 75c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bristol City FC | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabb…817cbacked Middlesbrough FC | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Bristol City FC | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bristol City FC | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Bristol City FC | 56c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…8346backed Bristol City FC | 57c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.