Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec4a6d439fe3b1ac408202f32983207c4b75d9a4c926a5afc192c52ec5c7cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,313 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked No | 1c | 840$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 66c | 606.31$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 26c | 554.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 46c | 459.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.46 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 38c | 387.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 300.57$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 68c | 166.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Yes | 54c | 93.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 87.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 74c | 76.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 76.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 36c | 63.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.